834호 Guessing Games With Probability: Frequentist vs. Bayesian｜초급영어 | <pre class="cake-debug"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr2-trace').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr2-trace').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none');"><b>Notice</b> (8)</a>: Undefined index: title [<b>APP/views/layouts/news.ctp</b>, line <b>5</b>]<div id="cakeErr2-trace" class="cake-stack-trace" style="display: none;"><a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr2-code').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr2-code').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Code</a> | <a href="javascript:void(0);" onclick="document.getElementById('cakeErr2-context').style.display = (document.getElementById('cakeErr2-context').style.display == 'none' ? '' : 'none')">Context</a><div id="cakeErr2-code" class="cake-code-dump" style="display: none;"><pre><code><span style="color: #000000"></span></code> <code><span style="color: #000000"> if (Configure::read() > 0) {</span></code> <span class="code-highlight"><code><span style="color: #000000"> include ($___viewFn);</span></code></span></pre></div><pre id="cakeErr2-context" class="cake-context" style="display: none;">$___viewFn = "/home/www/jinan.timescore.co.kr/views/layouts/news.ctp" $___dataForView = array( "title_for_layout" => "834호 Guessing Games With Probability: Frequentist vs. Bayesian｜초급영어", "info" => array( "InfoBasic" => array() ), "d" => DvalueComponent DvalueComponent::$area_num = array DvalueComponent::$tel = array DvalueComponent::$datetime = array DvalueComponent::$fn = array DvalueComponent::$info = array DvalueComponent::$limits = array DvalueComponent::$enabled = true, "agent_info" => array( "is_mobile" => false, "is_ie" => false, "is_html5" => true, "referer" => "" ), "site_info" => array( "document_root" => "/home/www/jinan.timescore.co.kr", "domain" => "jinan.timescore.co.kr", "id" => "1", "mail" => "timesadmin@timescore.co.kr", "http_host" => "http://jinan.timescore.co.kr", "name" => "타임즈코어", "company_name" => "(주)타임즈코어", "tel" => "02-392-3800", "fax" => "02-392-1800", "zip" => "06744", "addr1" => "서울시 서초구 남부순환로 356길 100", "addr2" => "윤화빌딩 5층", "open_flag" => 1 ), "meta" => array( "keyword" => array(), "des" => "", "etc" => array() ), "titles" => array( array() ), "user_info" => array( null, "id" => false, "test" => false ), "data" => array( "KidsArticle" => array(), "Video" => array() ), "content_for_layout" => "<style> ul.edu_sub_studys_l> li{ display: flex !important; align-items: center; flex-wrap:nowrap; overflow-x:auto; } ul.edu_sub_studys_l> li>a{ display: block; font-size: 16px; } ul.edu_sub_studys_l li { flex: 0 0 auto; /* 내용 크기만큼만 차지 */ } ul.edu_sub_studys_l li a { display: inline-block; white-space: nowrap; /* 글자가 줄바꿈되지 않도록 */ overflow: hidden; /* 불필요한 스크롤 제거 */ text-overflow: ellipsis; /* 필요하면 ... 처리 */ padding: 6px 12px; font-size: 15px; } </style> <div id="edu_sub"> <div class="edu_sub_top"> <p class="edu_sub_top_txt_l">Guessing Games With Probability: Frequentist vs. Bayesian</p> <p class="edu_sub_top_txt_r">HOME > LEVEL2</p> <div class="clear"></div> </div> <div class="edu_sub_studys"> <ul class="edu_sub_studys_l" style="display:flex"> <li><audio id="audio-player" src="http://f1.timescore.co.kr/kidstimes/mp3/11/d_834_aha.mp3" loop="false" type="audio/mp3" controls="controls"></audio></li> <li> <a href="javascript:tcplayer('d_834_aha,TCV', 'TCV','1765419251', '1613368225','1', '2', ',');"> <span class="text_show">단어학습</span> </a> </li> <li> <a href="javascript:tcplayer('d_834_aha', 'LCM','1765419251', '1613368225','2', ',');"> <span class="text_show">음성/속청</span> </a> </li> <li> <a href="javascript:tcplayer('d_834_aha,TCT', 'TCT','1765419251', '1613368225','5', '2', ',');"> <span class="text_show">단문학습</span> </a> </li> <li> <a href="javascript:tcplayer('d_834_aha,TCT', 'TCZ','1765419251', '1613368225','3', '2', ',');"> <span class="text_show">퍼즐</span> </a> </li> <li><a href="javascript:tcplayer('d_834_aha', 'TCW', '1765419251', '1613368225', '4','2', '');"><span class="text_show">평가문제</span></a></li> <li><a href="/basic/trans/11392" class="button_trans"><span class="text_show">해석</span></a></li>  </ul> </div> <div class="edu_sub_title" style="position:relative"> <p style="top:0" class="edu_sub_title_img"><span class="text_hidden">트로피이미지</span></p> <p class="edu_sub_title_txt">Guessing Games With Probability: Frequentist vs. Bayesian</p> </div> <div class="edu_sub_content" style="font-size:17pt;"> <table border="0" cellspacing="1" cellpadding="5" bgcolor="#cccccc"><tr><td height="156" align="center" valign="top" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="style5"><tr><td align="left" valign="top" class="style5"><img src="http://f1.timescore.co.kr/kidstimes/newspaper/img/834_aha_02.jpg" align="left" alt="Guessing Games With Probability: Frequentist vs. Bayesian0" style="padding:5px;width:200px;" />Imagine a jar full of red and blue candies. You can’t see inside, and can only pull out candies and put them back. A frequentist would repeatedly draw candies and guess the probability based on how many of their draws were red. A Bayesian would start with a guess about the candies, then update that belief each time they draw a candy. 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Both used different ways of looking at probability to figure out how many red and blue candies are in the jar.<br /></td></tr><tr><td align="left" valign="top" class="style5"><div align="right">May<br>For The Kids Times<br>kids/1765419251/1613368225</div></td></tr></table></td></tr></table> </div> </div> <script type="text/javascript"> // 동영상 팝업 $(document).ready(function(){ $('.button_video').popupWindow({ width:900, height:593, top:50, left:50, centerScreen:1, scrollbars:0 }); $('.button_exam').popupWindow({ width:1150, height:980, top:50, left:50, centerScreen:1, scrollbars:0 }); $('.button_trans').popupWindow({ width:420, height:500, top:50, left:50, centerScreen:1, scrollbars:1 }); $('.button_mp3').popupWindow({ width:309, height:180, top:50, left:50, centerScreen:1, scrollbars:0 }); }); </script>" $scripts_for_layout = "" $time = TimeHelper TimeHelper::$helpers = NULL TimeHelper::$base = "" TimeHelper::$webroot = "/" TimeHelper::$theme = NULL TimeHelper::$here = 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"news" TextHelper::$plugin = NULL TextHelper::$data = NULL TextHelper::$namedArgs = NULL TextHelper::$argSeparator = NULL TextHelper::$validationErrors = NULL TextHelper::$tags = array TextHelper::$__tainted = NULL TextHelper::$__cleaned = NULL $form = FormHelper FormHelper::$helpers = array FormHelper::$fieldset = array FormHelper::$__options = array FormHelper::$fields = array FormHelper::$requestType = NULL FormHelper::$defaultModel = NULL FormHelper::$_inputDefaults = array FormHelper::$_lastAction = "" FormHelper::$base = "" FormHelper::$webroot = "/" FormHelper::$theme = NULL FormHelper::$here = "/basic/news/11392/basic.Section:11/pages:1" FormHelper::$params = array FormHelper::$action = "news" FormHelper::$plugin = NULL FormHelper::$data = NULL FormHelper::$namedArgs = NULL FormHelper::$argSeparator = NULL FormHelper::$validationErrors = NULL FormHelper::$tags = array FormHelper::$__tainted = NULL FormHelper::$__cleaned = NULL FormHelper::$Html = HtmlHelper object $javascript = JavascriptHelper JavascriptHelper::$useNative = true JavascriptHelper::$enabled = true JavascriptHelper::$safe = false JavascriptHelper::$tags = array JavascriptHelper::$_blockOptions = array JavascriptHelper::$_cachedEvents = array JavascriptHelper::$_cacheEvents = false JavascriptHelper::$_cacheToFile = false JavascriptHelper::$_cacheAll = false JavascriptHelper::$_rules = array JavascriptHelper::$__scriptBuffer = NULL JavascriptHelper::$helpers = NULL JavascriptHelper::$base = "" JavascriptHelper::$webroot = "/" JavascriptHelper::$theme = NULL JavascriptHelper::$here = "/basic/news/11392/basic.Section:11/pages:1" JavascriptHelper::$params = array JavascriptHelper::$action = "news" JavascriptHelper::$plugin = NULL JavascriptHelper::$data = NULL JavascriptHelper::$namedArgs = NULL JavascriptHelper::$argSeparator = NULL JavascriptHelper::$validationErrors = NULL JavascriptHelper::$__tainted = NULL JavascriptHelper::$__cleaned = NULL $html = HtmlHelper HtmlHelper::$tags = array HtmlHelper::$_crumbs = array HtmlHelper::$__includedScripts = array HtmlHelper::$_scriptBlockOptions = array HtmlHelper::$__docTypes = array HtmlHelper::$helpers = NULL HtmlHelper::$base = "" HtmlHelper::$webroot = "/" HtmlHelper::$theme = NULL HtmlHelper::$here = "/basic/news/11392/basic.Section:11/pages:1" HtmlHelper::$params = array HtmlHelper::$action = "news" HtmlHelper::$plugin = NULL HtmlHelper::$data = NULL HtmlHelper::$namedArgs = NULL HtmlHelper::$argSeparator = NULL HtmlHelper::$validationErrors = NULL HtmlHelper::$__tainted = NULL HtmlHelper::$__cleaned = NULL $ajax = AjaxHelper AjaxHelper::$helpers = array AjaxHelper::$Html = HtmlHelper object AjaxHelper::$Javascript = JavascriptHelper object AjaxHelper::$callbacks = array AjaxHelper::$ajaxOptions = array AjaxHelper::$dragOptions = array AjaxHelper::$dropOptions = array AjaxHelper::$sortOptions = array AjaxHelper::$sliderOptions = array AjaxHelper::$editorOptions = array AjaxHelper::$autoCompleteOptions = array AjaxHelper::$__ajaxBuffer = array AjaxHelper::$base = "" AjaxHelper::$webroot = "/" AjaxHelper::$theme = NULL AjaxHelper::$here = "/basic/news/11392/basic.Section:11/pages:1" AjaxHelper::$params = array AjaxHelper::$action = "news" AjaxHelper::$plugin = NULL AjaxHelper::$data = NULL AjaxHelper::$namedArgs = NULL AjaxHelper::$argSeparator = NULL AjaxHelper::$validationErrors = NULL AjaxHelper::$tags = array AjaxHelper::$__tainted = NULL AjaxHelper::$__cleaned = NULL AjaxHelper::$Form = FormHelper object</pre><pre class="stack-trace">include - APP/views/layouts/news.ctp, line 5 View::_render() - CORE/cake-1.3.18/libs/view/view.php, line 736 View::renderLayout() - CORE/cake-1.3.18/libs/view/view.php, line 494 View::render() - CORE/cake-1.3.18/libs/view/view.php, line 440 Controller::render() - CORE/cake-1.3.18/libs/controller/controller.php, line 909 Dispatcher::_invoke() - CORE/cake-1.3.18/dispatcher.php, line 208 Dispatcher::dispatch() - CORE/cake-1.3.18/dispatcher.php, line 172 [main] - APP/webroot/index.php, line 86</pre></div></pre>

Guessing Games With Probability: Frequentist vs. Bayesian

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Guessing Games With Probability: Frequentist vs. Bayesian

Imagine a jar full of red and blue candies. You can’t see inside, and can only pull out candies and put them back. A frequentist would repeatedly draw candies and guess the probability based on how many of their draws were red. A Bayesian would start with a guess about the candies, then update that belief each time they draw a candy. Both used different ways of looking at probability to figure out how many red and blue candies are in the jar.

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